SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
20.85% ( 4.83) | 21.65% ( 1.38) | 57.49% ( -6.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 4.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( 1.56) | 40.64% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( 1.58) | 63.03% ( -1.58) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 6.23) | 33.14% ( -6.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.26% ( 6.33) | 69.74% ( -6.33) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( -1.35) | 13.93% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.61% ( -2.72) | 41.38% ( 2.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 2-1 @ 5.55% ( 1.09) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.66)3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.66)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.58)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.85% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.85)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.33)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -1.16)0-2 @ 8.97% ( -1.67)1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 5.89% ( -1.46)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.35)0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.91)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.44)Other @ 3.23% Total : 57.49% |
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