SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
63.38% ( -0.57) | 19.18% ( 0.41) | 17.45% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( -1.73) | 34.29% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.8% ( -1.98) | 56.2% ( 1.98) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.67% ( -0.63) | 10.33% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.22% ( -1.45) | 33.78% ( 1.45) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.9) | 32.84% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( -1.02) | 69.41% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.31)1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.2% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 17.45% |
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