SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
73.92% ( -0.28) | 15.18% ( 0.13) | 10.9% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.19) | 29.96% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.23) | 51.14% ( 0.23) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.08% ( -0.1) | 6.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.6% ( -0.26) | 25.4% ( 0.26) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% ( 0.12) | 38.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% ( 0.11) | 75.53% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.14% Total : 73.92% | 1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.18% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.9% |
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