Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
Result | ||
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
16.77% ( -0.07) | 22.81% ( 0.06) | 60.43% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.4% ( -0.37) | 51.6% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.61% ( -0.32) | 73.39% ( 0.32) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.93% ( -0.31) | 44.07% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.81% ( -0.26) | 80.19% ( 0.26) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% ( -0.13) | 16.69% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.43% ( -0.23) | 46.57% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 11.79% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 60.42% |
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