SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
23.24% ( -0.06) | 21.75% ( -0.02) | 55.01% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( 0.02) | 38.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( 0.02) | 60.32% ( -0.02) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.04) | 29.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( -0.05) | 65.58% ( 0.04) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( 0.03) | 13.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.8% ( 0.06) | 41.2% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.01% |
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