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QL
Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
BL

QPR
2 - 1
Birmingham

Cook (65'), Dunne (90+2')
Hayden (58'), Colback (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bacuna (62')
Laird (47'), Roberts (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City

With a different manager at the helm on an interim basis, Birmingham may respond in a positive manner after a number of defeats. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to end their only winless streak, potentially courtesy of a late goal at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
46.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.42% (0.026 0.03) 27.97% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 53% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.023 0.02)72.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)21.61% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.163 -0.16)54.72% (0.162 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.19499999999999 0.19)32.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.219 0.22)68.89% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.6%
    Birmingham City 27.97%
    Draw 25.42%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 QPR
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 QPR
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-4 Southampton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship


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