SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
40.11% ( 0.04) | 25.65% ( -0.01) | 34.23% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% ( 0.02) | 48.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( 0.02) | 70.98% ( -0.02) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( 0.04) | 58.37% ( -0.05) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.02) | 27.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.02) | 62.83% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.23% |
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