SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montrose in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.14% ( -0.14) | 26.12% ( 0.05) | 31.73% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.16) | 51.53% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.14) | 73.33% ( 0.15) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.14) | 24.23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.2) | 58.58% ( 0.22) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.01) | 30.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( -0.02) | 66.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.73% |
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