SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
45.04% ( -4.41) | 24.5% ( 0.32) | 30.46% ( 4.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( 1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( 1.12) | 45.03% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( 1.07) | 67.38% ( -1.07) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( -1.38) | 20.11% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( -2.26) | 52.36% ( 2.26) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 3.52) | 27.88% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( 4.28) | 63.49% ( -4.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.86)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -1.04)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.75)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.35)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.73) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.63)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.57)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.42)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.46% |
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