SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
50.7% ( -0) | 24.63% ( 0.01) | 24.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.04) | 49.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( -0.04) | 71.52% ( 0.03) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.02) | 19.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% ( -0.03) | 51.41% ( 0.02) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( -0.03) | 34.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( -0.03) | 71.33% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.66% |
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