SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
36.28% ( 0.03) | 25.03% ( 0.05) | 38.69% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( -0.24) | 45.82% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( -0.23) | 68.14% ( 0.23) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.1) | 24.73% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( -0.13) | 59.29% ( 0.13) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.15) | 23.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.21) | 57.45% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.69% |
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