SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
43.37% ( 0.07) | 25.61% ( -0.06) | 31.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.23) | 49.66% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( 0.21) | 71.68% ( -0.21) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( 0.13) | 22.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( 0.2) | 56.52% ( -0.2) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.1) | 29.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 0.13) | 65.92% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.01% |
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