SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
49.6% ( -0.03) | 25% ( 0) | 25.4% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( 0.02) | 50.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.02) | 72.32% ( -0.02) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( -0) | 20.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( -0.01) | 52.71% ( 0.01) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 0.04) | 34.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 0.04) | 71.17% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.4% |
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