Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.91) 
1.22) 
