Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
-0.42) 
0.14) 
