Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
