SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Corinthians |
58.07% ( 0.13) | 24.35% ( 0.15) | 17.59% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% ( -0.9) | 56.12% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% ( -0.73) | 77.19% ( 0.74) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.29) | 19.2% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( -0.49) | 50.89% ( 0.49) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.27% ( -0.88) | 45.73% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.49% ( -0.69) | 81.51% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 14.48% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.7% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.59% |
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