SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Danubio |
25.68% ( 0.33) | 29.22% ( 0.23) | 45.1% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 40.99% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.51) | 64.96% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.14% ( -0.36) | 83.86% ( 0.36) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.01) | 42.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% ( 0) | 78.72% ( -0) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.54) | 28.92% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( -0.67) | 64.8% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.12% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 15.18% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.46% Total : 45.09% |
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