SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
29.91% ( -0.2) | 29.26% ( 0.14) | 40.83% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.51) | 63.45% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% ( -0.37) | 82.79% ( 0.37) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.44) | 37.9% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( -0.42) | 74.67% ( 0.42) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.22) | 30.55% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -0.27) | 66.77% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.83% |
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