SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
45.53% ( 0.74) | 27.65% ( 0.06) | 26.81% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% ( -0.62) | 59.39% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% ( -0.48) | 79.77% ( 0.48) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.09) | 26.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( 0.12) | 61.09% ( -0.12) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -1.01) | 38.17% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( -0.99) | 74.94% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.81% |
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