SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Fenix |
30.22% ( -0.23) | 28.75% ( 0.15) | 41.02% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% ( -0.57) | 61.74% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.45% ( -0.43) | 81.54% ( 0.42) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.49) | 36.71% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( -0.5) | 73.5% ( 0.49) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.24) | 29.59% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.29) | 65.62% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 30.22% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 41.01% |
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