SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Fenix |
28.5% ( 0.49) | 27.23% ( 0.28) | 44.27% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.92% ( -0.8) | 57.08% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.04% ( -0.65) | 77.96% ( 0.65) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0.04) | 35.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0.04) | 72.3% ( 0.05) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.75) | 25.64% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -1.03) | 60.53% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.27% |
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