Charlton will be desperate to claim all three points in Jones's first game in charge, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils when they face a Reading side that has avoided defeat in each of their last five home league matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
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