Mallorca may have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times, but we think that they will struggle to extend their unbeaten run beyond Wednesday's contest.
Real Madrid tend to save their best performances for the Santiago Bernabeu, and we believe that they will showcase the quality at their disposal to claim a relatively comfortable home victory in their first outing of 2024.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.25%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.72) 
0.37) 
