Valencia are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Real Madrid, with Los Che boasting a number of talented players in the forward positions. Los Blancos will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.59) 
-0.11) 
