Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.07%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.09) 
