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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 30, 2024 at 12.50am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
MU

Salt Lake
0 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Minnesota Utd win 5-4 on penalties
 
FT

Abel Diaz Beleno (8'), Trapp (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-1 St Louis City
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Minnesota United

Claret and Cobalt are competing in the playoffs for a third successive occasion, and that experience, along with the quality of Chicho Arango, could make the difference in this opening contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawMinnesota United
60.54% (-0.496 -0.5) 19.6% (0.093 0.09) 19.85% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 63.41% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.73% (0.179 0.18)32.26% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (0.208 0.21)53.87% (-0.21 -0.21)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)10.44% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.96% (-0.161 -0.16)34.04% (0.16 0.16)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.48399999999999 0.48)29.2% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.59099999999999 0.59)65.14% (-0.593 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 60.54%
    Minnesota United 19.85%
    Draw 19.6%
Real Salt LakeDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.44% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 60.54%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.074 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 19.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-3 Portland
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, September 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-1 St Louis City
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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