SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
68.96% ( 0.72) | 17.59% ( -0.24) | 13.45% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( -0) | 35.16% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( -0) | 57.17% ( 0) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.76% ( 0.17) | 9.24% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.76% ( 0.39) | 31.24% ( -0.39) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0.68) | 38.39% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( -0.65) | 75.15% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.56% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.45% |
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