SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
53.81% ( -0.61) | 23.09% ( 0.2) | 23.1% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.43) | 44.41% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.42) | 66.79% ( 0.43) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.37) | 16.45% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( -0.67) | 46.13% ( 0.68) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0.13) | 33.19% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 0.14) | 69.8% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.1% |
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