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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
42.91% ( 0.34) | 23.1% ( 0) | 33.98% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.99% ( -0.1) | 37.01% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.8% ( -0.11) | 59.2% ( 0.11) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( 0.1) | 17.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( 0.17) | 48.43% ( -0.17) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( -0.23) | 21.91% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( -0.35) | 55.17% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.95% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.5% Total : 33.98% |
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