SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
53.6% ( 1.49) | 24.44% ( -0.6) | 21.96% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( 1.46) | 51.29% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( 1.26) | 73.12% ( -1.26) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( 1.16) | 19.07% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.32% ( 1.89) | 50.68% ( -1.88) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( -0.04) | 38.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% ( -0.04) | 74.85% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.59% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.96% |
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