SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
50.33% ( -0.03) | 22.93% ( -0) | 26.74% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% ( 0.04) | 40.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.42% ( 0.04) | 62.57% ( -0.04) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( 0) | 16.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( 0.01) | 45.6% ( -0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( 0.05) | 28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( 0.06) | 63.65% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.53% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.74% |
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