Villarreal were 3-0 winners on their last visit to Real Valladolid, and while we are not expecting the result to be as comprehensive on Saturday, the Yellow Submarine should have enough to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
3.19) 
-0.96) 
