Games on the opening weekend of the new season are often difficult to predict, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Valladolid win here. That said, Villarreal will be able to send the greater quality onto the field, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to have too much for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Villarreal
40.66% ( -0.18)	24.79% ( -0.03)	34.55% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.19% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.03% (

0.19)

44.97% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

0.18)

67.32% (

-0.19)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0)

22.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56% (

-0)

55.44% (

-0)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

0.21)

25.32% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9% (

0.29)

60.1% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 40.66%

Villarreal 34.55%

Draw 24.79%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.66%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.55%