Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
