SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Ponferradina |
64.41% ( -0.2) | 21.93% ( 0.05) | 13.65% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( 0.09) | 53.59% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( 0.08) | 75.09% ( -0.08) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( -0.03) | 16.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.63% ( -0.06) | 45.36% ( 0.06) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.29) | 49.66% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.58% ( 0.2) | 84.42% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 64.41% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 13.65% |
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