Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.
0.01) 
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