SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Granada |
30.34% ( 0.45) | 30.15% ( -0.39) | 39.51% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.05% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.94% ( 1.22) | 66.06% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.38% ( 0.83) | 84.62% ( -0.83) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( 1.06) | 39.03% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% ( 0.98) | 75.75% ( -0.98) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( 0.61) | 32.68% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( 0.67) | 69.23% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.52% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.14% | 0-1 @ 14.26% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.51% |
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