SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
26.12% ( 0.15) | 29.4% ( -0.46) | 44.48% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.85% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.72% ( 1.37) | 65.28% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( 0.94) | 84.08% ( -0.94) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.88% ( 0.93) | 42.12% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.46% ( 0.8) | 78.54% ( -0.8) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0.86) | 29.41% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( 1.03) | 65.41% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 15.16% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.4% Total : 44.48% |
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