Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
0.39) 
-0.66) 
