Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.45) 
-0.11) 
