Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Cittadella
36.94% ( -0.96)	26.25% ( 0.19)	36.81% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 53.4% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.77% (

-0.78)

51.23% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93% (

-0.69)

73.07% (

0.69)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11% (

-0.91)

26.89% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

-1.21)

62.2% (

1.21)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.08)

26.96% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

0.1)

62.3% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 36.94%

Cittadella 36.81%

Draw 26.25%

Salernitana	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.94%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.81%