SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Lens had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
43.09% ( -0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.23) | 32.06% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( -1.07) | 45.95% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( -1.03) | 68.26% ( 1.02) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.54) | 21.36% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( -0.84) | 54.33% ( 0.84) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0.55) | 27.3% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( -0.72) | 62.74% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.06% |
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