Rennes have been performing well in the opening three games, but Saturday is going to provide a difficult test for the squad against one of the strongest teams in the league so far.
Lens have been impressive with their attacking qualities while also showing defensive capabilities, and they will be the favourites here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.21) 
