SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
72.71% ( 0.07) | 16.92% ( -0.04) | 10.37% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( 0.07) | 40.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0.07) | 62.82% ( -0.07) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( 0.03) | 9.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.61% ( 0.08) | 32.39% ( -0.08) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.02) | 47.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.49% ( -0.02) | 82.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
| 2-0 @ 12.41% 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% 5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 72.69% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.92% | 0-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.37% |
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