SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Racing Club |
63.47% ( 0.03) | 20.4% ( 0.03) | 16.13% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.23) | 42.59% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.23) | 65% ( 0.23) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( -0.06) | 12.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.95% ( -0.12) | 39.04% ( 0.13) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( -0.2) | 39.48% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( -0.19) | 76.17% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Racing Club |
| 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 16.13% |
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