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National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
MU

Rochdale
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Rodney (38')
Keohane (35'), Gordon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Maidenhead United

Rochdale are carrying good momentum into this match and seem to have found some form in front of goal lately, scoring two or more goals in each of their last three games. Maidenhead's away record has been very poor over the last couple of months, and we feel that they will suffer a third consecutive defeat on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.

Result
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.81%
    Maidenhead United 24.66%
    Draw 23.52%
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Woking
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 3-0 Wealdstone
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 4-2 Dorking
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-3 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League


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