SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
54.45% ( -0.21) | 22.28% ( 0.04) | 23.28% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.01) | 40.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.01) | 62.9% ( 0.02) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.07) | 14.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.82% ( -0.14) | 43.18% ( 0.14) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.13) | 30.89% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( 0.16) | 67.18% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.28% |
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