Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.