SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Wealdstone |
46.08% ( 0.03) | 24.29% ( 0.11) | 29.63% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.58) | 44.53% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( -0.56) | 66.9% ( 0.56) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.22) | 19.46% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( -0.36) | 51.32% ( 0.36) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.39) | 28.19% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( -0.49) | 63.89% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.63% |
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